Friday, January 31, 2025

"Not a Deal"

"Not a Deal" 

That's what the Lubavitch kid who comes to my office every Friday to try to convince me to put on tefillin said. 

He's been trying to get me to put on tefillin for weeks. His original pitch was that I should do a mitzvah to help the soldiers win the war in Israel. I said, really? How is my putting on tefillin gonna help win the war in Israel. He said, every mitzvah helps. I said, if you believe that, then you must believe that God cares about me doing a mitzvah and that He can intervene in what's going on. Then you must also believe that on some level God allowed October 7th to happen in the first place. And somehow there's a connection for God between doing mitvahs or not doing mitzvahs and allowing terrible things to happen. The kid agreed. I said, well I don't believe that me putting on tefillin is going to help win the war. Because if I believed that, I'd have to also believe that God is cruel enough to let young, innocent people die and be taken hostage, because we didn't do enough mitzvahs. If there's a God, I can't believe He'd be that petty. So I don't want to insult His intelligence by putting on tefillin and thinking he'd respond by making Israel win the war.

But that was a few weeks ago. This is a new week.           

"Not a deal." 

"What's not a deal," I asked.

"100 criminals and murderers released for one Israeli hostage, that's not a deal."

"Really," I said. "What's a better deal."

"One for one."

"So you think that one murderer has the same value as one innocent victim?" I asked. "I don't. I would trade 1000 criminals for 1 hostage. Because to me that's the value. 1000 to 1. Do you know what gives life value?"

He waited for my answer.

"Can't be faith in God. I mean, the terrorists have plenty of that, or so they claim. It's the law that gives life value. When a person follows the law, it means they are taking responsibility for others. The terrorists are lawless. That's why they will even kill their own women and children. To them, there are no laws, or rather they are the law, and so human life has no value. But surely you understand this. It's what Judaism is all about. Learning and following the laws of Torah. But it also applies to citizens following the laws of a country. The laws make us responsible for one another. Gaza is lawless, so human life has zero value. The hostages are citizens of Israel. They have so much value that the government and all the citizens of Israel are willing to do anything to get them back, even if it means sacrificing their own sons and daughters in battle. With responsibility comes value." 

"But what if the terrorists being released kill more people. It happened before."

"Yes, it's possible." I said. "But it's not inevitable. We let our guard down before. Our leaders failed. If we don't hold the leaders we chose accountable for the mistakes they made, then we are more responsible for letting it happen again."

"Making a deal, shows what you value," I told the kid. "They value their murderers and criminals. We value our fathers, mothers, daughters and sons."  

"Kol Yisrael arevim zeh la-zeh," he said.

Lesson learned.

Thursday, January 30, 2025

Why Poilievre Will Never Go Full trump (if he knows what's best for him)

Why do (most) Canadians despise trump while a lot of Americans like him (and some love him like Jesus)? I mean even before he threatened to put Canada into an instant recession. 

About half of Americans like trump enough to vote for him. That's undeniable. It's also incomprehensible to a lot of us. They didn't care that he is a convicted felon. They didn't care that he encouraged a violent insurrection against the temple of American democracy the Capitol. They don't care that he pardoned the convicted Jan. 6 mob who battered police with flagpoles, sacked the building and called for the lynching of the Vice-President and Speaker of the House. Trump's supporters like his brashness. They like the way he talks. They think he gets them - when in fact, it's them who have been gotten (in the sense of conned). It's obvious to many of us that he has contempt for the very people who support him the most. He wouldn't be caught dead hanging out socially at one of his golf clubs with the people who attend his rallies, the groupies who buy his low-end merch, wear the hats, and believe every lie he utters as if it were gospel. 

One theory is that he has tapped into a visceral animus that exists in American society, between the conservative rural uneducated ('I love the uneducated' trump famously said) and the coastal educated elites. The blue collar working class and the white collar upper class. It doesn't matter that trump is the epitome of an educated coastal elite. He doesn't talk like one. It doesn't matter that when he came to office in his first term, the only successful piece of legislation he claimed was a massive tax break that largely benefitted the wealthy and corporations. What matters to trump's supporters, and he knows it perfectly well, isn't actually lowering the price of eggs. My guess is that he won't be paying much of a political price for failing to deliver on that promise. To trump's followers, paying the increased price of eggs is worth having someone who will express, in the most outrageous, most offensive and public way, the visceral resentment and anger that they feel. And by the way, it's not a matter of education, as some have been arguing (usually the educated elite make the argument). That can easily be disproven by the fact that Americans have never been more educated in history, than they are today. More high-school and college graduates than ever before. The problem is that the economic opportunities afforded by getting an education have been drying up across the board for decades, and that's endemic. Coastal elites are still foolish enough to pay the exorbitant fees to go to elite universities, and spend the rest of their lives paying the debt back. The rest think it's a better bet to tell the elites "Fuck you!" in the loudest ugliest voice they can find. They may have the smarter (and more affordable) idea.

I hate sounding nostalgic, but there was a time in America in the 1950s, 60s and 70s - I was reminded of this by an interview with Harvard professor Michael Sandel on Steve Paikin's show - when you could go to a baseball game at Boston's Fenway Park, and the rich and educated would be indistinguishable from the high-school dropouts and working class, except maybe that some people sat closer to home plate and the dugouts. Baseball was always the people's sport. Symbolic of democracies equality of opportunity. The stadia were always huge, because baseball is played on a massive field, with plenty of affordable seats. When I was a kid, my dad's clothing company (no multinational enterprise) had season's tickets for box seats along the first base line at Jarry Park. Many weekend afternoons in the summer were spent taking in an Expos double-header. Point being, the experience embodied a kind of social cohesion accessible to everyone. Contrast that to tickets for sport (concert etc.) nowadays. They are priced out of reach for the average person. The elite sit in corporate boxes, while their employees  watch on livingroom and sports bar TV screens. It's symbolic of a fracturing of the economic and cultural fabric of society.

Since the mid-1980s, the social divide shaped by economic globalization that offshored manufacturing and financially privileged those who could take advantage of the information economy, created a divide that stagnated wages at the bottom for decades and hypercharged wealth accumulation at the top. This trend gradually morphed into the fragmentary politics of group identity. A sense of social cohesion, built on trust that everyone was working toward the same national project of fairness and opportunity, was coming apart, because the economic and political results demonstrated the exact opposite. Enter trump, whose populist message targeting those left behind by increasing wealth disparities, found a home within groups of society looking for a voice to express their anger, frustration and blame. 

Why hasn't Canada fallen prey to that brand of identity politics of resentment? It's not as if tickets for a hockey game have become more affordable. It's not as if we don't fall for identity politics in general. We do. Canadians are more woke than an alarm clock. One word: healthcare. That, and all the other nationwide institutions explicitly designed to strengthen the national social fabric, like our social safety net, our public schools, our childcare etc. Most northern countries, for example the Scandinavian countries, tend to have a more developed social safety-net systems of support. It comes with the challenges of living in northern climates. A certain sense of interdependence emerges, and a national culture and institutional framework. I'm not suggesting that Canada doesn't have regional cultural identities, of course we do, some very distinct ones, as in Quebec. But in terms of shared experience and affinity, there's nothing like a cold Canadian winter - which shapes our choice of sports, technologies, arts, sciences & manufacturing (ie. research we are particularly good at doing and products we're particularly good at making) etc. In short, everything that makes up an identity. Our social fabric simply hasn't frayed the way it has in the US because we still trust in our government, the services they provide, and each other. Sure, we had our copycat trucker convoy disruption when people were going out of their minds during the pandemic. Most Canadians hated it. We trust our healthcare professionals to provide advice in the interest of citizens. We like order not chaos. It gets too cold up here for chaos. The US has always influenced our politics and culture, and always will. But the bottom line is we're different. We're not American. And in the next few months I think we'll prove it. 

Tuesday, January 28, 2025

As Goes The US

As goes the US, so go we, and by we, I don't just mean Canada, I mean the globe. It's our reality. Everyone's reality. We are at the mercy of the dumb choices made by Americans. 

We are living through the American century. The last five hundred years or so were dominated by Europe, and the spread of colonialism. That began to change around the turn to the 20th century, and America's spectacular ascension to world dominance was complete with the catastrophic self-destruction of Europe and parts of Asia in World War Two. America rebuilt Europe and Asia, and made them in its image. Fortunately for us. American hegemony rapidly spread liberal democratic values around the world, individual rights and freedoms, and global trade on a scale never before seen in history. It resulted in the most widespread and longest period of peace and prosperity ever. By every meaningful measure, from the reduction of poverty and infant mortality to human longevity, more people have lived better and longer than ever before. Thanks to the unprecedented influence of the most powerful nation, militarily and economically, that has ever existed. All of it was supported by an international financial and political system of treaties and agreements that generated unprecendented levels of security, trade and cooperation. 

As Joni Mitchell sang, 'Don't it always seem to go, that you don't know what you've got till it's gone'. 

My biggest fear about trump in 2015 was that if he was elected US President he would move to dismantle the international system that America had created. He tried in his first term, but his incompetence ensured that he failed. This time he's trying harder, and he has many more tools (and I mean that in both the common usage and the pejorative sense) at his disposal. I also feared that he would divide Americans against each other on racial and political lines, and attack the institutions of government, which is his modus operandi. His objective is to make American rule of law and democracy weaker, because he fancies himself an American Putin, the absolute head of a criminal gang that can skim off the proceeds of state revenues for personal enrichment. That may be harder to do than he thinks, given the structure of the US government. But signs of corruption are certainly there. His re-shaping of government departments under staunch loyalists, and the recent sacking of 17 Inspectors Generals signals his intentions. No doubt he will move more aggressively this time to leverage the US government to enrich himself and his cronies. I suspect that his threats of tariffs are part of that. 

My grandfather used to say 'bullshit baffles brains'. And he said it decades before the internet, the greatest bullshit generating machine ever created. Grandpa Sam was a visionary and astute observer of human nature. He saw how easily people could be distracted and manipulated. He might have foreseen a politician like trump, the greatest bullshitter the planet has ever seen. Trump complains the US is being charged too much by Panama to use the canal. Well, if you bothered to look it up you'd find that they were charged a million dollars last year. That's a million dollars to use a waterway that moves roughly $270 billion worth of cargo annually, 40% of all U.S. container traffic alone. Not sure how much cheaper it could get in trump's view. He wants Canada to stem the flow of fentanyl into the US. Virtually no fentanyl crosses the US/Canada border. Guns coming from the US into Canada is another story. 

Trump is a small man with a small mind. He has no principles (except for the pursuit of personal self-interest), no long term strategy (except self-enrichment), and thinks transactionally. He will do and say whatever he perceives in the moment will burnish his image as a strongman. The perception of strength is relative - you are only strong (or weak) in relation to others. So he threatens and bullies allies (Canada, Denmark, Panama), because he perceives that they are vulnerable and might give him a few easy wins. My hunch is that he has grossly miscalculated. And the result will be that he looks weaker. Every bully sooner or later gets exposed for the weakling that he is. Looking weak can be dangerous because it requires escalatory behaviour to prove strength. I shudder to think what that may mean with trump. As it stands, because he threatens so much, there is a danger of not taking his threats seriously. What is the most powerful person on the planet willing to do to get his credibility back? Trump may pick up a few easy wins, like he did with Columbia this week (hardly a 'win' really). But his wins are our losses. They mean an America no one trusts, an America without respect, and that results in a weaker international order, a less safe, less peaceful, less prosperous, less cooperative world. 

Sunday, January 26, 2025

Missing The Point

Once again the mainstream media is missing the point of the January 6th pardons. All the outrage is directed at the hypocrisy of Trump and his GOP ‘law and order party’ enablers giving a get out of jail free card to the people who violently attacked and injured the Capitol police - when they say they support ‘the men and women in blue.’ Fact is no one much cares about hypocrisy in politics anymore. They’re all hypocrites, some more than others. The point isn’t that they attacked the police officers. The point is that they attacked the Capitol. The police were unfortunately standing in the way. This was trump’s assault on lawmakers and democracy. Like all autocrats he was showing that he rules, not them, and sending a violent mob against them was designed to send that message. That’s the point. He’s the law, not them.

Another thought: The paradigm of left-right politics is no longer relevant. 

Most mainstream commentators are still operating within the left-right analytical framework. Those are their terms of referral. They see trump as the vanguard of right-wing anti-woke, anti-DEI efforts, and a reactionary against the far-left identity politics agenda. Trump is actually the product of identity politics, and takes it to its maximalist (and sometimes absurd extremes ie. renaming the Gulf of Mexico.) Trump thinks only in terms of identity as expressed through labelling and branding. His discourse is based on reducing people to single (most often false) characteristics, especially if they are rivals or opposition. The simplicity of it is politically appealing to a lot of people. His base of support are wholly committed to their identities, usually white, Christian, and evangelical (but he also has a strong base of support within orthodox Jewry). Right versus left politics implies ideological differences. There is no ideology or principle with trump (except personal self-interest). He is prepared to do or so anything at any moment if he thinks it will benefit him. He uses buzz words as emotional triggers, for example 'radical leftist' but it carries no substantive ideological meaning, which is why contradiction and hypocrisy is pervasive in his rhetoric. 'Radical-left' simply means 'the enemy'. The point is that the ideological basis of political discourse is not relevant. We live in a moment of hyper-identity politics and trump's ascension is emblematic of it, not counter to it. The irony is that it's increasingly looking like trump's radical identity politics will be responsible for pushing the Democrats away from their type of identity politics, and back to the center. 

Clean White Shirt

CLICK HERE TO HEAR THE SONG


You know me better than anyone,

I can't forgive you.

You say I have no sense of fun,

I tell you that I do.


I two-step on the edge of the roof,

You call me down before I get hurt.

I tell you I need a better view,

And a clean white shirt.


I admit I'm no Bob Dylan,

Just a second-hand fill in,

My back is just kill'n,

In my head there's a drill'n,

But this ride is still thrill'n,

And together we'll be chill'n,

If you're will'n, baby,

If your will'n.


I see the fire of dragons in the sky,

The snakes crawling in our attic.

Every day that we're alive, 

There's always something more dramatic.


Messages inscribed on subway faces,

Futures will be foretold.

Secrets kept in hidden places, 

Anguish waiting to take hold.


I admit I'm no Bob Dylan,

Just a second-hand fill in,

My back is just kill'n,

In my head there's a drill'n, 

But this ride is still thrill'n,

And together we'll be chill'n,

If you're will'n, baby,

If your will'n.

Tuesday, January 21, 2025

The Second Gilded Age

Turns out MAGA 2.0 stands for Make America (another) Gilded Age. If you don't know what the Gilded Age refers to look it up. In sum, the most corrupt rule by oligarchs in American history (until now). Surrounded by an exclusive coterie of billionnaire backers in the Capitol building that his less-well-off supporters desecrated 4 years earlier, Trump took the oath of office, one hand in the air, and the other which was supposed to be on the (Lincoln) bible, hanging down by his side and out of view (probably with fingers crossed). It was the perfect image for the moment, and coda to the events of 4 years ago - a physical desecration of the place capped off with a verbal desceration of the oath of office. He's back to complete the process of destruction.   

America voted for it. 

After taking office Trump immediately pardoned over 1000 Jan. 6 rioters, an estimated 600 who were convicted for violent acts with weapons. With his pardon of Enrico Tarrio and Stuart Rhodes, the leaders of the Proud Boys and Oath Keepers, both tried and jury-convicted of seditious conspiracy giving them 18 and 20 years in prison, respectively, trump gets the paramilitary brown shirts he's been wanting. The criminals are officially running the justice system.

America voted for it.

Then Trump signed an Executive Order to do away with birthright citizenship, which is guaranteed in the US Constitution. Of course, it won't fly, but it shows where his mind is at. Either he thinks he is the law, or he's above the law (and why shouldn't he think that), or it's all just for show, like renaming the Gulf of Mexico. Probably all three.

America voted for it.

Actually, they voted for lowering the cost of living. At least that's what we've been told. I don't believe it, because they know you can't really vote for that. It's like voting for Mexico to pay for a giant wall on the border. And anyway, inflation has been quelled (trump's policies would actually spur it back on). America voted for the show. The Biden show was boring - as competence, fiscal responsibility and legislative accomplishment usually are. American's want excitement. It's all they really care about. Something to amuse them. Something to keep them watching. It's how they've been conditioned in the last 10 years from pervasive and constant social media. A nation of addicts. A kind of mass-hypnosis has taken hold, and trump is like a Svengali.  

The first Gilded Age, like the Svengali story, ended in tragedy and ruin. I, for one, won't be watching.

Friday, January 17, 2025

Poem Without An End

after Amichai


The wealthy politician

promises the citizens 

to rid the government 

of wealthy elites 

gets elected,

installs wealthy elites

to run the government 

for the benefit 

of wealthy elites,

who run for election

promising 

to rid the government

of wealthy elites

gets elected.